DIRECTIONAL SIGNALS [ RULE-BASED // 24H HORIZON ]

BTC
▼ SELL
UNRATED
no verified
track record yet
ETH
▼ SELL
UNRATED
no verified
track record yet
SOL
▼ SELL
UNRATED
no verified
track record yet
BNB
▼ SELL
UNRATED
no verified
track record yet
AVAX
▼ SELL
UNRATED
no verified
track record yet
LINK
▼ SELL
UNRATED
no verified
track record yet
LTC
▼ SELL
UNRATED
no verified
track record yet
BCH
▼ SELL
UNRATED
no verified
track record yet
DOT
▼ SELL
UNRATED
no verified
track record yet
UNI
▼ SELL
UNRATED
no verified
track record yet
Track record: UNRATED. 0 signal(s) resolved so far, 0 awaiting their 24h horizon; 20 are needed before a hit rate is published. Until then these signals have no measured accuracy and should be treated as unvalidated.
Signals are computed by a fixed rule from this cycle's 24h price data (each asset's own move and its move relative to the tracked-set average) — they are not forecasts and carry no claim of predictive power. Confidence, where shown, is the measured hit rate of past signals graded against realized prices, never an estimate. Hover a tile for the basis. Not financial advice.

META SUMMARY

Headline Figures

  • Market: 10 tracked assets, 0 up / 10 down / 0 flat; average 24h change -8.02%; sentiment bearish
  • Breadth: broad-based decline, a correlated market-wide move
  • Top loser: BCH -12.14%
  • Combined market cap of the 10 tracked assets (not the whole market): $1,534.99B
  • BTC share of the tracked set: 78.84%
  • ETH share of the tracked set: 12.42%
  • Total DeFi TVL across all chains: $129.62B
  • Total stablecoin supply: $317.02B
  • Largest stablecoin: Tether at $187.19B
  • Point-in-time levels with no change measurement this cycle: total DeFi TVL, total stablecoin supply

MARKET ANALYSIS

Market Overview & Sentiment

  • Assets with a reported 24h change: 10
  • Average 24h change: -8.02%
  • Up / down / flat: 0 / 10 / 0
  • Overall sentiment: bearish
  • Breadth: broad-based decline, a correlated market-wide move

Price Analysis

  • Top gainers: none
  • Top losers: BCH -12.14%, ETH -10.69%, AVAX -9.81%
  • Assets moving more than 5%: BNB -5.48%, LTC -5.77%, SOL -6.34%, UNI -7.76%, LINK -7.89%, DOT -9.53%, AVAX -9.81%, ETH -10.69%, BCH -12.14%

Prices by Source

  • BTC: coinbase $60,354.01, coingecko $60,390.00 (spread $35.99, 0.060%)
  • ETH: coinbase $1,578.73, coingecko $1,579.37 (spread $0.64, 0.041%)
  • SOL: coinbase $64.52, coingecko $64.67 (spread $0.15, 0.232%)
  • BNB: coinbase $571.48, coingecko $572.02 (spread $0.54, 0.094%)
  • AVAX: coinbase $6.96, coingecko $6.98 (spread $0.02, 0.287%)
  • LINK: coinbase $7.37, coingecko $7.38 (spread $0.01, 0.204%)
  • LTC: coinbase $43.47, coingecko $43.54 (spread $0.07, 0.161%)
  • BCH: coinbase $216.66, coingecko $216.98 (spread $0.32, 0.148%)
  • DOT: coinbase $0.95, coingecko $0.96 (spread $0.00, 0.442%)
  • UNI: coinbase $2.44, coingecko $2.45 (spread $0.01, 0.328%)
  • Sources disagreeing by 0.05% or more: BTC (0.060%), SOL (0.232%), BNB (0.094%), AVAX (0.287%), LINK (0.204%), LTC (0.161%), BCH (0.148%), DOT (0.442%), UNI (0.328%)

Market Capitalization (the 10 tracked assets only — not the whole crypto market)

  • Combined market cap of the 10 tracked assets: $1,534.99B
  • Median market cap: $4.87B
  • Large-cap (>=$10B): BTC $1,210.22B (78.8%), ETH $190.67B (12.4%), BNB $77.32B (5.0%), SOL $37.50B (2.4%) (tier total $1,515.71B)
  • Mid-cap ($1B-$10B): LINK $5.38B, BCH $4.36B, LTC $3.37B, AVAX $3.02B, DOT $1.62B, UNI $1.53B (tier total $19.28B)
  • Small-cap (<$1B): none
  • BTC share of the tracked set: 78.84%
  • ETH share of the tracked set: 12.42%

24h Volume (USD, CoinGecko)

  • Assets with USD volume: 10
  • Total 24h USD volume: $109.91B
  • Median 24h USD volume: $0.55B
  • Highest-volume assets: BTC $65.25B, ETH $34.41B, SOL $6.18B, BNB $1.94B, LINK $0.59B

NEWS SUMMARY

Crypto news summary for the last 6 hours:

Market Movements & Price Action:

Regulatory & Policy Developments: - The U.S. - Exempting staking rewards from taxable income. - No broader crypto transaction exemptions, though discussions continue. - Rep. Brad Sherman (D-CA) warned that government stablecoin payments could undermine the U.S. dollar, enabling tax evasion, citing concerns over alternative payment systems. - The UK’s Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) blacklisted Hyperliquid and Hyper Foundation for operating unauthorized crypto perpetuals, with CME Group’s CEO warning that such markets could be a "disaster waiting to happen"** amid volatility risks.

Corporate & Institutional News: - MicroStrategy (MSTR), now a Bitcoin-focused firm, saw its stock indirectly impacted by broader crypto declines, though no direct BTC-related announcements were made.

Key Technical & Derivatives Insights: - ZEC futures open interest hit record highs in token terms, signaling extreme bearish positioning. - Liquidations were modest relative to price declines, suggesting spot selling rather than forced margin calls.

Outlook: The selloff reflects broader macroeconomic concerns (e.g., strong U.S. job data hinting at Fed rate hikes) and ZEC’s unique vulnerability crisis. While liquidations remain controlled, the combination of weak spot support and record bearish bets could prolong downside pressure. Regulatory clarity remains a wildcard, with tax proposals potentially easing some burdens for stakers.

ONCHAIN DATA

Onchain snapshot (last 6 hours)

  • Total DeFi TVL across 468 chains: $129.62B
  • Top chains by TVL: Base $5.97B, Ink $925.45M, Monad $569.31M, Mantle $314.96M, Stable $95.97M
  • Protocols tracked: 7,627 (count)
  • Total protocol TVL: not available this cycle
  • Top protocols by TVL: Binance CEX $136.70B (-3.46% 1d), OKX $21.85B (-1.56% 1d), Bitfinex $16.53B (-4.42% 1d), Lido $14.03B (-10.83% 1d), Bybit $13.77B (-3.26% 1d)
  • Protocol 1d changes: 0 up, 20 down
  • Steepest protocol decline: Lido -10.83%
  • Protocols moving 5% or more in 1d: Lido -10.83%, Binance staked ETH -10.70%, EigenCloud -10.62%, SSV Network -10.62%, WBTC -6.21%, Gemini -5.91%, Aave V3 -5.61%, Coinbase Bridge -5.49%, Robinhood -5.35%
  • Total stablecoin supply: $317.02B
  • Largest stablecoins by supply: Tether $187.19B, USD Coin $75.47B, Sky Dollar $8.60B, World Liberty Financial USD $4.64B, Dai $4.53B
  • Bridges tracked: 2 (count)
  • Bridge TVL: not available this cycle
  • Overall onchain direction: not measurable this cycle (no change figure accompanies total TVL or stablecoin supply)

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE

This page is generated automatically by language models. Every summary and the Directional Forecast on it are probabilistic model outputs that may be inaccurate, incomplete, delayed, or simply wrong. This is an experimental research project, published for informational and educational purposes only.

Nothing here is financial, investment, trading, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any digital asset. The directional signals are not trading advice and have no verified predictive value. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile; you may lose some or all of your capital.

The operators and contributors accept no liability for any loss arising from use of, or reliance on, this material. Consult a qualified, licensed financial professional before making any decision.